Wednesday, November 07, 2012

BPL The Run Home

So BPL is nearing the pointy end of the season and there are still six teams in the comp who can make finals. Cobras and Slamtown are in the finals and it is just a matter of where they will finish. You would expect these 2 teams to lock down the top 2 spots, but the order will be decided by the head to head game this week.

This leaves the 4 way scuffle for the 3rd and 4th. Bugs, Dojo, Heroes and Blitz are all locked in this tussle and we are going to look at how they got to this point, the run home and where we expect them to finish. What we do know is that 6 wins will get you a finals berth this season. Thats means you need the magic 28pts to fall over the line.

Cobras
After a pedestrian effort last season with much the same personal, Cobras turned the league on its head. Cutting some of the fat then adding even more with Troy and wetnose the team seems to have found a better balance this season. Consistency doesn't exist between points let alone games with this team. They are likely to do something crazy just coz it looks good. The Key seems to be wetnose. Not so much for any thing spectacular but for exploiting the lack of depth of other team. A solid receiver in his own right you risk conceding an easy goal if you give him a weak match up.

Run Home
Slamtown(L),Heroes(W), Bye

Current Position 1st
Predicted finish 2nd.

Slamtown
Now for those who may have been around for a few years, The Mayor is the new Pottsy. While he is a good player in his own right it is his ability to draw good players to himself that see his teams feature at the top of nearly every competition he enters. This Slamtown team is no different. I will give him the GC players that he has on the team as a given Al, Beans, Nandor, Troy, Bo and few more however it is the brisbane pickups that start to really fill out the list e.g. Gref, Kalin and Abra. Now in saying this I doubt they have had the same team show up to consecutive weeks, so come finals personal maybe an issue. This week is a must win if they are to take out top spot but I am backing them.

Run Home
Cobras(W),Bugs(W), Blitz(W)

Current Position 2nd
Predicted finish 1st

Bugs
Looking back at their early season form http://brisbanepremierleague.blogspot.com.au/2012/09/bpl-power-rankings.html, Bugs where in some deep doo doo. The lost their first 3 games and where showing no signs of turning things around. It should be noted that Buzz was absent, getting his post worlds chinese bug finding skills honed. Since then bugs have gone 4-2 which puts them up with the top 2 teams in the form guide and will have the others worried. What has changed well the structure has sorted itself out some what. The younger fitter bugs (most of whom are over 25 except trev who is just an old man) are running riot down field. Once the disc gets moving the down field skill and throwing threats are hard to shut down.

Run Home
Blitz(W), Slamtown(L), Lovers(W)

Current Position 3rd
Predicted finish 3rd.

Heroes
The boys have lost their way a bit in the latter half of the season. I don't know if the early season form went too their heads or they have changed anything, but they are looking like the easy beats of old in recent weeks. I am hopeful that the heroes boys can turn it around however if they can't account the boys from that fancy university this week then they will be out of the race for the finals. Their top 4 will need to be on there game for the green machine to roll into the finals.

Run Home
Lovers(W), Cobras(L), Dojo(L)

Current Position 4th
Predicted finish 5th

Dojo
The boys from the are trying a new tactic this season. For years they have won the minor premiership and then chocked in the final. They are trying to sneak into the finals and choke a week earlier. Now if they just too my advice and tied and gagged sensei in the back of ads mini then they would roll most teams in the competition. I would expect the dojo to all show up for the finals as they don't like to loose. I would hate to have to play them in the semi finals with Fatty, Coops and Pete all there and firing.

Run Home
Bye, Lovers(W), Heroes(W)

Current Position 5th
Predicted finish 4th

Blitz
Now these boys have gone the opposite way to the bugs. They had a suprise start to this season rolling some of the top teams and playing some good ultimate. I don't know what has changed but I guess there is less people throwing to Chris's lane poaching these days. They could mathematically make the finals still but they need to win against the in form bugs and the flatballers for the GC.

Run Home
Bugs(L), Bye, Slamtown(L)

Current Position 6th
Predicted finish 6th

UQ
These boys are out of the race for the finals but they can still avoid the wooden spoon and stuff up jangles prediction table. With BW weekly reminding us to read the rules to which I say I agree, some of the old boys are still operating on 2007 rules. He is doing some great things with the UQ boys when he can keep their heads in the game and off the niggle. I hope these boys don't just show up for the last 3 weeks as they are playing 3 of the 4 teams fighting for a finals berth.

Run Home
Heroes(L), Dojo(L), Bugs(L)

Current Position 7th
Predicted Position 7th